Good W.I.L.L Hunting - Week 14 (Playoff Edition)
Every Tuesday, @TrueNorthFFB's very own Will Harris @itsharristime will be providing you with his W.I.L.L (Weekly Insights to Lead Your League). He’ll provide an in-depth positional look at the top waiver wire adds of theweek that are rostered on less than 40% of Yahoo leagues. @itsharristime will also give you three Professor Lambeau Picks just in case you cannot get the recommended waiver add for each position. How Bout Dem’ Apples looks at the stat lines of last week’s waiver wire insights and how @itsharristime fared.
A big thanks to all of our faithful readers that have tuned in every week to get your weekly winning waiver wire insights. For those that are tuning in for the first time, thank you too! It’s been a pleasure walking through waivers with you every week.
I also wanted to give a big thank-you to the entire True North Fantasy Football team who embraced my Good W.I.L.L Hunting idea and allowed me to run with the concept. None of this would have been possible without TNFF’s #Team Analog who do so much of the behind the scenes work to produce the content and get it out to our readers. Hats off to our editor @joesimonetti77 and our chief graphic designer @danmadegraphics for all of their incredible work this season. You two are the real league leaders.
Teddy Bridgewater - rostered @ 33%, Carolina Panthers
For those of you that streamed the quarterback position into the fantasy football playoffs, I salute you! Streaming QBs throughout the season allows you to have draft flexibility. Instead of sinking a top ten round draft capital into a QB, you could have instead drafted a difference maker like Antonio Gibson, Diontae Johnson, Justin Jefferson, Dallas Goedert or a Rob Gronkowski. These players are top ten positional fantasy producers that could have clinched you a playoff berth. Drafting a Carson Wentz or Matt Ryan instead, would most likely have your fantasy team on the outside looking in, unless you tapped into early waiver wire gold like a James Robinson.
With the ups of QB streaming, you have to take the downs. Having Teddy Bridgewater as the best option for QBs in Week 14, might be the lowest point for this column on the season.
Bridgewater is QB19 on the year, and there is hope that coming off a bye week, he is rested from a knee injury that caused him to miss Week 11. The collective fantasy football world hope is centered around the return of the Panthers starting RB Christian McCaffrey. This would also help relieve the pressure around Bridgewater who might be without WRs D.J Moore AND Curtis Samuel due to COVID-19.
Statistically, Bridgewater had his most productive fantasy day when CMC returned after a long absence against Kansas City in Week 9. Bridgewater went for 201 yards, 2 TDs and 16 rushing yards along with 1 rushing TD. With a home matchup against Denver, and CMC’s status still questionable, along with the two WRs still not cleared from the COVID-19 list, Bridgewater is truly a wildcard. However, he still remains the best option available with many other startable QBs above the 40% rostership line.
Professor Lambeau’s Picks
Sam Darnold, 8% - New York Jets
Drew Lock, 11% - Denver Broncos
Andy Dalton, 13% - Dallas Cowboys
Ty Johnson - rostered @ 3%, New York Jets
In the words of Bob Dylan: the times they are a changin’ at the Meadowlands for the New York Jets.
Frank Gore was sidelined with a concussion in Week 13. Greg Williams was unceremoniously dumped for a foolish blitz call in the dying seconds of that same game. It cost the Jets the game and Williams his job.
It is clear that this Jets team has long been playing for 2021, and with Gore out, it might be time for the organization to explore what they have with running back Ty Johnson. Johnson has been an intriguing prospect since being drafted by the Detroit Lions in the 6th round of the 2019 draft. With incredible measurables, and an off the chart 7.0 yards per carry in college, Ty made dynasty owners take interest when the Lions drafted him. The usage, as with all things Lions, was incredibly strange, and the signing of free agent Adrian Peterson and the drafting of D’Andre Swift meant the end of Johnson in Detroit.
All Ty Johnson did by signing with the Jets was swap one dysfunctional coach for another (Patricia to Gase) and one ageless wonder running back for another (A.P to Gore). With no other options at their disposal, the Jets might ride Johnson down the stretch and determine if a combination of La'Mical Perine and Johnson would be enough in 2021 to not draft a RB in the 2021 draft.
Johnson performed well when Gore went down rushing for 104 yards and a TD while producing 19.70 fantasy points. This type of production available as a depth piece for your championship run is the ultimate luxury. The talent was always there, and now we have the volume to help unlock what could be a weekly flex play for your RB needy teams.
Don’t let Jets bias sweep over you. Talent + volume = production
Professor Lambeau’s Picks
Jeff Wilson Jr., 6% - San Francisco 49ers
Tony Pollard, 19% - Dallas Cowboys
Darrell Williams - 2% - Kansas City Chiefs
Tim Patrick - rostered @ 21%, Denver Broncos
Tim Patrick isn’t the hero the Broncos deserve, but he is the hero that they need right now. With burgeoning superstar Courtland Sutton out with a torn ACL since Week 3, Patrick has produced when targeted by the Broncos revolving door QB room.
Patrick has had four top 25 WR weeks on his resume for 2020, and looks to be Drew Lock’s favourite YOLO ball target. With a matchup against the COVID-19 depleted Panthers in Week 14, Patrick could see a plus matchup against Panther’s Rasul Douglas, and experience another week of fantasy relevance.
If you are in desperate need of WR help, I lean Patrick here because of the favourable matchup instead of Gabriel Davis who will be in tough against a Steelers secondary that will be looking to make amends for their first loss of the season at the hands of the Washington Football Team. Keke Coutee is another name at WR that you can plug into your lineups, but will have a tough matchup against the Colts.
Professor Lambeau’s Picks
Gabriel Davis - 5%, Buffalo Bills
Keke Coutee - 27%, Houston Texans
Nelson Agholor - 39%, Las Vegas Raiders
Logan Thomas - rostered @ 40%, Washington Football Team
This should not have to be written: Logan Thomas should not be on your leagues waiver wire. Thomas is TE8 on the year and is averaging 5.8 targets/game and plays 49.8% of his snaps out of the slot.
The formula for tight end success is broken down into three very defined segments: athleticism, slot usage, and volume. Thomas has all three, and over the last two games has experienced positive TD regression. Thomas is a must start in the fantasy playoffs as he is a perfect target for check down master Alex Smith as the Washington Football Team makes a bid to secure the NFC East. What was also clear from his “breakout” performance against the Steelers is he can play tough in the redzone and has the trust of his QB. With an upcoming matchup in week 14 against a stingy 49ers defense and most likely without RB Antonio Gibson, I expect Thomas to be the go-to player again in the redzone.
Professor Lambeau’s Picks
Tyler Eifert - 6%, Jacksonville Jaguars
Dalton Schultz - 22%, Dallas Cowboys
Jordan Reed - 25%, San Francisco 49ers
If you like True North's content click here to head on over and subscribe to our YouTube channel, the TNFF Network for top-notch video content.
HOW ABOUT DEM' APPLES
Kirk Cousins, QB Minnesota Vikings - 1.60 f/pts, 215 yards, 0 TDs
Cam Akers, RB Dallas Cowboys - 4.20 f/pts, 12 yards
T.Y Hilton, WR Indianapolis Colts - 10.40 f/pts, 54 yards,6 targets, 5 receptions
Trey Burton, TE Indianapolis Colts- 7.40 f/pts, 24 yards, 5 targets, 5 receptions
Thank you for reading my waiver wire article. Make sure to come back next week and please leave a comment or message me on Twitter @itsharristime
Editor: Joe Simonetti (@joesimonetti77)
Graphic work: Dan Made Graphics (@DanMadeGraphics)